Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.139562 0.154728 0.170227 0.187209 0.205257 0.223826 0.244337
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.123333 0.144836 0.167592 0.193336 0.221522 0.251320 0.285080
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.108787 0.134488 0.162533 0.195132 0.231706 0.271220 0.316880
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.095989 0.124539 0.156588 0.194755 0.238505 0.286655 0.343220
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.086361 0.117170 0.152662 0.195848 0.246278 0.302660 0.369818
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.077169 0.109435 0.147550 0.194887 0.251128 0.314917 0.391848
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.071731 0.105735 0.146785 0.198653 0.261166 0.332904 0.420292
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.065417 0.100395 0.143573 0.199085 0.266943 0.345714 0.442597
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.059588 0.095207 0.140152 0.198913 0.271713 0.357130 0.463132
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.053866 0.089716 0.135974 0.197470 0.274669 0.366192 0.480747
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.049969 0.086398 0.134348 0.199026 0.281142 0.379356 0.503174
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.047841 0.085370 0.135591 0.204146 0.291984 0.397787 0.531937
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.043745 0.081338 0.132728 0.203946 0.296245 0.408396 0.551599
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.041916 0.080480 0.134069 0.209187 0.307377 0.427462 0.581590
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038907 0.077635 0.132510 0.210463 0.313370 0.440158 0.603849
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.035528 0.073968 0.129601 0.209765 0.316699 0.449470 0.621935
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032946 0.071356 0.128035 0.210761 0.322139 0.461375 0.643204
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029984 0.067898 0.125064 0.209679 0.324743 0.469638 0.659933
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.028619 0.066979 0.125738 0.213591 0.333910 0.486204 0.687013
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.026449 0.064524 0.123998 0.214026 0.338387 0.496773 0.706612
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.024293 0.061917 0.121895 0.213836 0.341950 0.506132 0.724681
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.021999 0.058863 0.118952 0.212319 0.343626 0.513001 0.739584
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020574 0.057293 0.118232 0.213947 0.349537 0.525332 0.761412